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This game was something. Each week when
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Join Date: 10/29/2018
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Posted: 9/19/2019 10:49:00 PM

this article gets put together Daniel Jones New York Giants Jersey , there’s one or two really big plays and the rest are meaningful but don’t have a massive impact on the result. That was not the case in the 33-31 New York Giants loss to the Carolina Panthers. There were numerous big plays and big swings, especially in the second half. These are the biggest plays in the game, by Win Probability Added (WPA) and Expected Points Added (EPA). Explainers here (WPA) and here (EPA).Both WPA and EPA presented from the perspective of the offense.Not so special teams - 14:21, second quarterEPA: -7.22 | WPA: -16.6 percentSo this happened.The Giants have struggled to find success on punt returns, so Odell Beckham Jr. got the call in this game. He had a 15-yard return early in the game, but this play was as bad as they get and Beckham wasn’t trying to return it. In an attempt to push the closest defender away and let the ball get into the end zone, the ball instead brushed off Beckham’s leg, bounced around, an in another comedy of errors with more Giants trying to jump on the ball, it ended up in the end zone in Carolina’s possession for a touchdown.When you need something done ??- 6:48, second quarterEPA: 5.54 | WPA: 18.3 percentIn an interview with ESPN that aired pre-game, Odell Beckham said he was disappointed in the lack of deep passes for the offense this season. So he did it himself. On a second-and-18, Beckham took a backward pass from Eli Manning and unloaded a throw with a defender in his face across the field to an open Saquon Barkley for a 57-yard touchdown. Trick plays with wide receiver throws often create ample space for the throw, but the degree of difficulty on this throw was not easy. The play not only gave the offense a needed boost, it saved the Giants from a likely punt following a 2nd and 18.A poor defensive hold - 4:22, third quarterEPA: 3.08 | WPA: 10.7 percentCarolina lined up to punt on fourth-and-8 from the Giants’ 41-yard line, but an encroachment penalty on Kareem Martin moved it up to a fourth-and-3 and the Panthers chose to keep the offense on the field. The result of the play was initially incomplete, but a hold was called on B.W. Webb away from the throw. The five-yard penalty allowed the Panthers drive to continue and Webb’s extra 15-yard penalty for making contact with an official made it worse. Three easily avoidable penalties could have cost the Giants, but they ended up not mattering all that much because...Dueling interceptions, part 1Cam Newton to Curtis Riley - 3:44, third quarterEPA: minus-4.3 | WPA: minus-11.7 percent...three plays later Cam Newton threw an interception. After a holding penalty, the Panthers faced a second-and-20 at the Giants’ 26. Newton had time to throw and ripped a pass up the middle toward rookie tight end Ian Thomas, but the throw was off-line (or Thomas didn’t cut his route correctly) and the ball was placed perfectly into the waiting arms of Curtis Riley, who returned it for another 12 yards.Eli Manning to Mike Adams - 1:38 Youth Phil McConkey Jerseys , third quarterEPA: minus-5.94 | WPA: minus-12 percentBut not to be outdone, Eli Manning gave the ball right back to the Panthers on the following drive. This first-and-10 play looks like an RPO — the right side of the line plus a pulling Will Hernandez run blocked — with the read based on the pre-snap box count. With six men on the line and one more directly behind them, Manning decided to throw — not the wrong decision with one-on-one coverage outside. But at the snap, pressure got through on the right side and Mike Adams, one of the Panthers on the line, dropped back into coverage. With the need to get the ball out quickly, Manning threw into what he thought would be an open window for Beckham one-on-one. But Manning never saw Adams drop back and the throw went straight to the defender. Catch CMC - 11:28, fourth quarterEPA: 3.39 | WPA: 13.1 percentCarolina went nine plays and 68 yards on the drive following the interception, capped off by an 18-yard touchdown pass to Christian McCaffrey. It was a beautiful play design by the Panthers to get McCaffrey into space. Carolina came out in shotgun with a 2x2 formation and McCaffrey in the backfield to the right. At the snap, the two receivers on the right side ran slants to the inside, which pulled all the defenders away from the sideline. That opened everything up for McCaffrey to take a swing pass, turn the corner, and score.The touchdown gave the Panthers a two-score lead, 27-16.Dueling interceptions, part 2Eli Manning to Mike Adams, again - 10:41, fourth quarterEPA: minus-3.74 | WPA: minus-11.3 percentIt didn’t get much better for the Giants on the next drive — one that lasted only two plays ended with another Eli Manning interception. After a 1-yard Saquon Barkley run on first down, the Giants faced a second-and-9. The Giants tried to go downfield again — something that worked well in this game — but Manning didn’t really step into the throw and the pass floated up the field instead of the sideline where Sterling Shepard was located. Again, Mike Adams was in perfect position for the interception.Cam Newton to Janoris Jenkins - 9:08, fourth quarterEPA: minus-5.86 | WPA: minus-22.1 percentBut, Newton would not be outdone. While Newton threw the first pick of the game and Manning answered on the following drive, the two switched roles in the fourth quarter. Three plays after the Panthers picked off Manning, Newton threw another interception intended for Ian Thomas. With pressure from Landon Collins in his face, Newton threw outside of Thomas and into the waiting arms of Janoris Jenkins Phil McConkey Jerseys Stitched , who turned into a punt returner and gained another 29 yards of zigging and zagging after the pick, down to the Carolina 34.Beckham gets one - 8:16, fourth quarterEPA: 3.65 | WPA: 13.1 percentIt only took the Giants two plays to find the end zone. The first was another one-yard run from Barkley. But the second was a 33-yard strike to Odell Beckham for his first receiving touchdown of the season. It was a perfect strike to Beckham in the end zone and the second-most improbable completion of the week across the entire league, per Next Gen Stats, with a completion probability of just 15.1 percent. Beckham came close to a receiving touchdown earlier in the game, but a great defensive play by James Bradberry knocked the ball out of Beckham’s hands. With Bradberry again in great coverage here, Beckham was able to hold on.The touchdown and the successful two-point conversion brought the Giants within three points — 27-24. All the Wright moves - 3:27, fourth quarterEPA: 3.02 | WPA: 5.8 percentOn the next drive, the Panthers faced a fourth-and-1 from the Giants’ 44. Carolina kept the offense out on the field and the Giants expected a QB sneak. They lined up seven players on the line of scrimmage and sent all of them. Christian McCaffrey ran to the flat out of the backfield, which pulled the shallow defender, Eli Apple. That left Jarius Wright wide open with Curtis Riley a step slow to cover. The deep pass gained 27 yards. Carolina would eventually kick a field goal to go up six points with just over two minutes remaining. Barkley breaks free - 1:15, fourth quarterEPA: 3.57 percent | WPA: 2.2 percentThere’s a theory for a leading team that it’s better to be up three late in the game, than up by four, five, or six points. With the typical timidness of NFL play-calling, a team trailing by three is more likely to play for a field goal to tie instead of playing aggressively for a touchdown to win. But a team down by four-to-six points knows it needs a touchdown will have no choice but to have that aggressive mentality.That’s what happened when the Panthers went from up three to up six and the Giants made sure to go down the field quickly. They went 75 yards in just four plays, the biggest of which was a 40-yard pass to Russell Shepard that gave the Giants a first-and-10 at the Carolina 15 with just over a minute remaining. Getting into that situation skyrocketed the Giants’ win probability, which is why the win probability for Saquon Barkley’s 15-yard touchdown catch looks so low compared to all the other plays listed.Barkley only got four targets in the game, but two of them were for the game’s biggest plays. The Giants sent Barkley out of the backfield and lucked out with defensive end Efe Obada in coverage. Obada started to rush the passer but turned in coverage once Barkley left the backfield and once that happened, it was too late. Barkley leaped into the end zone for a touchdown and the extra point gave the Giants a 31-30 lead.Gano is good - 0:06, fourth quarterEPA: 3.75 | WPA: 98.1 percentIf this game wasn’t weird enough, there was this final drive. There was the inside run on third-and-1 at the Giants’ 46 with 30 seconds left and no timeouts remaining. Even as the refs marked a first down, the Panthers didn’t have a lot of time push the ball further down the field. After a spike and incomplete pass, the Panthers stayed at the 46 and brought on Graham Gano for a game-winning 63-yard field goal — something you can see by the win probability added Youth Mark Bavaro Jerseys , didn’t have a real good chance at happening. But we all know what did happen and how this game improbably ended. A look at the Giants potential end game and why it’s not as crazy as it first appeared"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections New York Giants NewsGiants Training Camp 2016Giants vs. Eagles 2015, Week 17New York Giants News2019 NFL DraftPerspectives: Why I feel better about this Giants draft classNew,344commentsA look at the Giants potential end game and why it’s not as crazy as it first appearedEDTShareTweetShareSharePerspectives: Why I feel better about this Giants draft classChristopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY SportsLike many of you, I was stunned — maybe a little angry, too — when NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell announced Duke quarterback Daniel Jones as the Giants’ No. 6 overall pick.Like many of you, I wanted them to grab Kentucky edge Josh Allen, and I felt that since they had committed to Eli Manning already for this year, they could punt on a quarterback and get a top-shelf prospect in next year’s draft.Having had time to digest the Giants decision and to see how the rest of their draft class turned out, I’m not as outraged as I was when the pick was announced. I think a big reason behind the outrage is the value the Giants placed on Jones. There were many (including me) who thought he might be able to be had lower in the first round. However, general manager Dave Gettleman refuted that in his post-draft press conference, claiming that he “knew for a fact” that two teams in front of him a No. 17 were eyeballing Jones when they were on the clock.While Gettleman didn’t name those two teams, Ralph Vacchiano of SNY did, identifying them as being Denver and Washington. (Broncos beat reporter Mike Klis of 9News reported that the Broncos were not one of the two teams and ESPN’s Dianna Russini, via ESPN Radio, claimed that neither Denver or Washington were the teams involved.)But I digress. After taking some time to think this through and look at both sides of the coin carefully, I concluded that the Giants, who remember had three first-round draft picks, are probably going to get their two defensive players, defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence and cornerback DeAndre Baker, on the field from Day 1. And if you look around the league, only a handful of teams get that opportunity every year to put multiple first-round draft picks on the field immediately out of the chute.Jones? There is a chance we could see him after the midway mark of the season, depending on how things go. If not, then it probably wouldn’t be a stretch to predict that the Giants and Manning will go their separate ways after this season when the quarterback’s contract is up, thus allowing Jones to step in without having Manning lurking in the shadows if he were to struggle coming out of the gate. Last point on Jones. The Giants Mark Bavaro Jerseys Stitched , under Gettleman and head coach Pat Shurmur, have brought a very different philosophical style to building and managing a football team that varies from the previous regime of Jerry Reese and Tom Coughlin. The most significant difference is that under Gettleman and Shurmur, once a pick is made and he gets into the building, they don’t sit there and determine who is going to play and who is going to sit based on the player’s draft pedigree. That was a mistake Reese made for years, as evidenced by how long he held on to his draft picks even when it was as plain as day they were working out. Coughlin was guilty of that at times as well, refusing to play younger player immediately out of the chute in the earlier part of his tenure with the team (ultimately he eased up on that practice though). Giants fans probably don’t want to hear this, but future Hall of Fame head coach Bill Belichick took the same approach in New England at quarterback. Does anyone think Belichick gave a flying leap that Tom Brady wasn’t a top-10 draft pick? No, what Belichick did was forget about where players were drafted, and he rewarded them with playing time they worked hard to earn.The late Bill Walsh, another Hall of Fame head coach, had a similar philosophy in which once the draft was over, it was up to the players to justify their place on a roster rather than falling back on where they were drafted. This is the same approach I believe Gettleman and Shurmur are taking regarding this team. Considering how the previous regime’s approach got them into the mess they’re in now, don’t Gettleman and Shurmur at least deserve the benefit of the doubt?The Giants did attempt to fix the pass rush Mar 2, 2019; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Old Dominion defensive lineman Oshane Ximines (DL53) talks to the media during the 2019 NFL Combine at Indianapolis Convention CenterThomas J. Russo-USA TODAY SportsIn perusing Twitter before writing this column, I was surprised when I read the opinions lamenting the fact that the Giants didn’t address their pass rush.Dexter Lawrence and Oshane Ximines aside for a moment, correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t solid cornerback play and tight coverage count for something in terms of the pass rush? Are there not things such as coverage sacks, or did the rules change?The fact that the Giants took three corners in this draft — four if you count Sam Beal who was selected in the supplemental draft last year — screams loud and clear that the coaching staff thought the defensive secondary was a problem last year (and it was). It also suggests that Janoris Jenkins, who on paper is their best cover corner when he’s healthy, probably won’t finish his contract with this team. It also tells me that the Giants are going to try to generate a pass rush from all levels of their defense. It’s early, but my assumption is they’re going to expect the interior defensive guys to push the pocket up the middle (part of the pass rush), so that gaps are created for defensive backs and linebackers to shoot through into the backfield Color Rush Darius Slayton Jersey , or so the edge guys can be disruptive.As for those who are dismissing Ximines as a potential solution to the missing pass rush of the last two seasons because he came from a small school or he wasn’t a first-round talent, may I remind you that Osi Umenyiora also came from a small school and wasn’t a first-rounder. Michael Strahan didn’t’ exactly come from a powerhouse, and he was a second-rounder. And Justin Tuck was a third-rounder.While the law of roster building would suggest that a high draft pick from a powerhouse program would be the safe pick, that’s not a lock.Want more proof? Two of the Giants more famous first-round busts whom they were counting on to provide pass rushing pressure were Cedric Jones and William Joseph, guys who didn’t come close to producing what second-rounder Umenyiora and Strahan from the smaller schools or third-rounder Tuck accomplished.The moral of the story: Success isn’t necessarily determined by where you’re drafted; instead it’s about what’s inside your head and your chest. Mark Zerof-USA TODAY SportsWhat’s the plan at right tackle?Here is my prediction for right tackle. I believe the Giants and veteran Mike Remmers, once he can pass a physical, are going to agree on a two-year deal that has all the guaranteed money in the first year of the contract. I also think this year is going to be a learning year not just for Daniel Jones but for George Asafo-Adjei. If you think about it, this plan, if it comes to fruition, makes sense. Last year, the Giants put a rookie, Will Hernandez, next to Nate Solder. While Hernandez ultimately got up to speed very quickly, often Solder had to help him out there, even if it meant at the expense of his play.I’m wondering if the Giants decided to take a different approach, whereby the plan is to put a veteran (Remmers, assuming he signs) next to another veteran (Kevin Zeitler) so that when Jones steps int the lineup, he has an experienced line in front of him. Regarding Asafo-Adjei, that doesn''t mean he was a wasted pick. As I noted above, with Gettleman and Shurmur, it’s not necessarily about where a pick was drafted — the kids don’t have any control over that as there are only so many slots available for each round. But what the kids do have control over is what they do once they set foot in the building, and I have a feeling that’s the expectation for “Big George” as well.

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